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Predictions for 2015
In 2015, microgrids and distributed
energy will be viewed as very attractive, because of reliability,
flexibility and profitability and grow into an important role of
providing reliable power at reasonable prices in a sustainable way.
Over the last few years companies have developed and demonstrated driverless car technology; Google, Audi, BMW and dozens of other companies and universities have been involved. With the use of cameras, sensors, “decision and driving strategy and logic”, traffic sign recognition, pedestrian spotting and lane departure warnings, many but not all of the technical aspects have been addressed. The remaining technical aspects are likely to be resolved; if there are any obstacles to driverless cars they will be with government regulations and the psychological reactions drivers may have to technology and automation.
If you compare the technology and automation of driverless cars to building automation one could make the case that the driverless technology has more capabilities; the driverless technology can identify “faults” such as pedestrians, traffic signs, lane closures, other cars, etc. Moreover, driverless technology can deploy corrective actions.
Over the last few years astute facility management departments have deployed various analytical software applications for use with building control systems, mainly in HVAC systems. Overall, analytics have provided impressive results in correctly identifying building systems that are not performing optimally, shown reductions in energy consumption as well as improvements in the effectiveness and efficiency of building operations, and service orders.
Using software applications to find faults in building systems is a huge benefit, but it’s really just half of the automation equation. Driverless cars and aircraft with autopilots can take corrective action. If a fault is identified in a building, we either create a work order or have a facility engineer address the situation.
If we can create the logic to identify a system fault we can create the logic to correct or remedy the fault. This level of building automation is not illusory. It's total automation. It requires granular data, and the development of detailed policies and logic. The policies will need to touch on every significant building situation or scenario affecting energy, operational costs, life safety and tenant comfort. Unlike the driverless technology, most of the innovation in building system analytics has come not from the large global building automation companies but from smart and innovative small to medium size companies. A very few of the global automation companies are starting to “dip their toes in the water” of software analytic applications for building systems. You’ll see the first steps of heightened or total building automation generated in 2015.
The introduction of indoor positioning systems last year was pretty much ignored by most building owners and facility management. What they may have heard was that indoor positioning systems are just used in shopping malls, where shoppers are tracked and receive sales pitches and coupons, however there also may be some privacy issues. Lost in that information were other applications benefiting building operations.
For example, one of the key metrics for building management is occupancy. There are very few buildings that have data on how many people are in their building. Bluetooth beaconing is one of the prominent technologies for indoor positioning. It can generate data on where occupants are in a building and how they are using the building spaces. That may include when and where building occupants enter and exit the building, what building spaces occupants inhabit, what time or day they occupy the spaces, duration of occupancy, etc. Such data could be and is already used to optimize the building operations, correlating the occupant data to building systems, energy consumption, space utilization, and even using the data for renovations of existing buildings or design of new buildings. Bluetooth beacon could also be part of addressing life safety events, for example locating people for safety or security purposes. It’s worth noting that the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is looking at indoor positioning to enhance emergency response.
One of the recent uses of Bluetooth
beaconing is in museums. Yes, they
are tracking their visitor behavior and using the data for exhibit
design and marketing, as well as providing way finding. More on
the museums at:
With facility management organizations really just starting to wade
into the world of data analytics, Bluetooth beaconing is poised to
provide data for buildings that really hasn’t existed previously and
enrich the analytics of building operations.
Beacons use Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE)
which are built into most of the
latest smartphones. The small beacons cost as little as $20 per unit
and can be installed almost anywhere. With the cost point of
Bluetooth beaconing not being a barrier and the potential benefit of
using occupancy data to improve building performance and design,
building owners and facility management departments will take a second
look at indoor positioning and are likely to deploy more pilot tests of
the technology in 2015.
The Resurgence of Power over Ethernet
Power over Ethernet has been around
since 2000. Maximizing the use of
PoE in buildings is a “no brainer”. PoE was created by necessity back
in the “old days” of telephone systems, then known as Private Branch
Exchanges (PBX). The PBX provided power and analog communication to the
telephones. At the time major telephone manufacturers wanted to
run telephone communications over IP. The IP communications worked
fine, but the VOIP telephones needed to be connected to an electrical
outlet. The solution was to provide data communications and power
in one cable. How brilliant is that. By 2003 there was an
international standard for Power over Ethernet over standardized cable.
Today over 100 million Power over Ethernet (PoE) enabled ports are
shipping annually. The initial use of 15 watts was increased over time,
initially to take on PZT video surveillance cameras. Cisco now has a
60W Universal PoE (UPOE) technology that is driving the adoption of
virtual desktop infrastructure (VDI).There is also now Power over
HDBaseT (POH) technology that can deliver up to 100W over twisted-pair
cable which supports full HD digital video, audio, 100BASE-T and
control signals in television and display applications.
The benefits of PoE are numerous and obvious, and while many of the building systems (access control, video surveillance, Wi-Fi, lighting, etc.) use PoE, PoE hasn’t penetrated many devices such as meters, sensors and controllers, such as BAS controllers or monitoring the electrical distribution. One of PoE’s benefits is cost. An average cost to provide a typical electrical outlet to a device is about $864. The cost of a PoE port is $47 to $175. An example of cost savings is Purdue University a few years back where 1,100 wireless access point were installed. PoE saved the university $350 to $1,000 per location. The second benefit is reliability; PoE centralizes power distribution, making it easier to provide uninterruptible and emergency power to the network switch providing power, thus better reliability. End devices can be managed, and moves, adds and changes are easier. PoE is safer than high voltage and lowers power consumption. Finally, it’s an international standard. We see the use of PoE worldwide.
PoE hasn’t had a big impact on BAS
controllers. Currently, innovative
companies such as Delta and Contemporary Controls have Ethernet based
controllers, and controllers providing PoE. Other controls companies
simply don’t want to change, they’re content with controlling
customer’s choices for products and services. The idea that BAS
controllers could have more robust networks via IP and PoE power costs
less and provides centralized reliability suggests that there is an
opportunity for global BAS manufacturers to step up their game in 2015.
Generating Revenue from Microgrids
Microgrids have several unique advantages. One is improvement of power reliability; a microgrid with multiple generation sources offers diversity and therefore greater reliability. Second, microgrids have the potential to lower or at least constrain energy costs, for example, using power from the larger grid when prices are cheaper than the microgrid; or conversely, maximizing the use of the microgrid when prices from the larger grid are high. At the very least microgrids offer more flexibility for owners in managing their energy costs. Third is a slight increase in energy efficiency; microgrids eliminate or decrease the transmission and distribution energy losses and also have the capability to recover and use heat locally. The result is higher energy efficiency. Microgrids are ideal for “communities”: a university or industrial campus, military installations, large commercial or residential developments. While a few utilities may not support microgrids because they take a portion of the load away from the utility, I would think other utilities may welcome microgrids to avoid large investments for repairs or upgrades in their transmission system.
The microgrid is an asset. The return on investment of the microgrid and the growth in its operating income is important to its financial success and wellbeing. Much like typical real estate transactions the location of the microgrid is important primarily because of particular state utility regulations and policies of the local utilities. Microgrids generally succeed in markets where electricity prices are high, and where there are large dense power users such as educational or business campuses or districts.
Many grid operators buy services from microgrids that are grid connected. Potential revenue stream for microgrid owners:
In 2015, microgrids and distributed
energy will be viewed as very
attractive, because of reliability, flexibility and profitability and
grow into an important role of providing reliable power at reasonable
prices in a sustainable way.
For more information about smart buildings, technology design or to schedule a Continuing Education program, email me at email@example.com.
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